Week 17

CLEVELAND BROWNS(4-11) @ PITTSBURGH STEELERS(7-8)
Cleveland has lost six in a row. They come into week 17 with one of the leagues top ten defenses and the leading receiver but only have 4 wins. I believe that the Browns are going in the right direction. In a couple more years they should contend for the AFC North crown. They need some pieces, more on offense then anywhere else. Safety T.J. Ward is a free agent in the off season and if he goes it will create another spot that will need to be filled. On offense the main piece, of course, is QB but also at RB and another WR wouldn’t hurt. The last regime in the front office of the Browns neglected the offensive needs and stacked a defense that is now top ten in the league. This off season should be focused entirely on the offensive needs. The good news is that the Browns will have a good draft pick. They have two in the first round and the players that they pick will start right away.
As for the Steelers,. Pittsburgh is not looking to next season just yet. They still have a slim chance of making it into the playoffs. They need a lot of help but all they will be focused on beating the Browns on Sunday. Ben Rothlisberger has put together one of his best seasons as a pro. He is completing over 64% of his passes and has a QB rating of 94.3. WR Antonio Brown continued his career year as he is now over 100 receptions and could reach 1500 yards with a good performance against the Browns. The Steelers defense only has 8 intercepts on the year but they are one of the best in terms of yardage against the pass. Rookie Leveon Bell heads the Steelers running game with over 700 yards and 7 tds on the year. Bell is on his way to becoming a star and he will be running the ball for many years in Pittsburgh. The Steelers beat the Browns earlier in the season with a steady pass game and good defense. Browns scored a td and had over 100 yards in that game. The Browns CB Joe Haden has had a pro bowl caliber year and will be covering Brown again. Haden would like to get some redemption against Brown. It will be a tough task though, Brown has at least five receptions in every game this year. The Steelers are at home and are motivated by a shot at the playoffs. The Browns are half way out the door of a long, disappointing season. Finding motivation for this game will be a task in itself. Steelers will win at home and sweep the series doing everything they can to stay alive.
My final PIT 24 - 13

NEW YORK JETS(7-8) @ MIAMI DOLPHINS(8-7)
The Jets have given the owners in New York good reason to keep coach Rex Ryan around. In a season when nobody thought that they would win more than a couple games the Jets have a chance to go .500 on the year, all of that with a sub par running game and a rookie QB. Geno Smith has bad numbers but the Jets have won impressive games with Smith under center. The Jets are also, building for the future. They have two first round picks, in the upcoming, draft and many more in the second and third rounds. Who knows what they will be in the next couple of years but my guess is with the nucleus they have now combined with the picks they will get out of this draft is that they won’t be that long away from the playoffs... This year the Jets are 1-6 on the road. The Dolphins are 4-3 at home and they were just shut out after three consecutive weeks of playing their best football in recent memory. QB Ryan Tannehill had a total of 83 passing yards In the shutout loss and as a team the Dolphins were held to just 103 total yards. Miami’s
leading running back, Lamar Miller has just over 600 yards and only 2 tds on the year. He will go against the Jets stout run defense who have only given up nine tds on the season. Tannehill will need to win this game with his arm, something he’s shown he can do but not consistently. His receivers Brian Hartline and Mike Wallace each have 4 tds and are closing in on 1,000 yards a piece. If Tannehill can find them early and often it will give his team a distinct advantage. The Jets pass defense is in the bottom half of the league. They allow opposing QBs to average a 93 passer rating on the year. If the Jets want to win and finish the season 8-8 they will have to improve that stat. The Dolphins need to forget about last weeks terrible performance, and start over. If they can avoid the shutout hangover then they should win. But if they start the game with a couple three and outs it could destroy their confidence and give the Jets all the momentum. The Dolphins beat the Jets a month ago at Met Life Stadium 23-3. They have more to fight for then the Jets. I think the Jets had something to prove all season and in my eyes they did that already. Now it’s time to look towards the draft and to next year. The Dolphins will win and stay alive in the wildcard race.
My final, MIA 27 - 20
BALTIMORE RAVENS(8-7) @ CINCINNATI BENGALS(10-5)
The last time these teams played, the Ravens got the victory in OT. But the Ravens were at home in that game where they are 6-2 on the season. This time around the Bengals have the home field advantage where they are undefeated and in the last four home games Cincinnati has scored 49, 41, 42, and 42 points. Away from Paul Brown stadium the Bengals are 3-5 and the most points they’ve scored is 27.
The Ravens lost to the Patriots last week and couldn’t take advantage in the wild card race. The Patriots put up 41 points against the Ravens. It’s the most any team has scored against them since week one when the Broncos scored 49 and it’s the most points scored on them at home all year. Ray Rice mustered a measly 51 yards and no tds. His season has been one of the worst of Rice's career and led many to believe that the front office will more then likely make a change in the off season. Meanwhile the Bengals have a lot of young star power that should keep them contending for years to come. Third year WR A.J. Green has 10 tds and is closing in on 100 catches for the first time in his career. QB Andy Dalton has been inconsistent at times but like the rest of his Team plays better at home. Last week he threw four tds and over 300 yards. He has career highs in tds and passing yards. The key to success in this game will be the play of Dalton. The Bengals come and go with him. At home he’s been brilliant, that’s why I think the Bengals will win this game. But they need to figure out how to win on the road if they want to succeed in the playoffs. The Ravens won’t be able to keep up with Dalton and the offense. They will miss the playoffs and will hope to build on what they have. Bengals finish the regular season on a high note.
My final, CIN 34 - 26

Monday Night Football

Atlanta Falcons (4-10) @ San Francisco 49ers (10-4)
    The Falcons disappointing season continues at Candle Stick Park in SF.  QB Matt Ryan has had to make something out of nothing all year.  Devastating injuries have decimated his receiving corps and even took out his starting RB Steven Jackson.  Jackson is Atlanta's leading rusher and he doesn't even have 500 yards.  One bright spot heading into next season is if wide out Harry Douglas was called upon when Julio Jones went out with a season ending injury.  Douglas has stepped up with over 70 catches and is nearing 1,000 yards for the first time in his career.  Tony Gonzalez leads the team with six TDs and is always a must start in Fantasy leagues.  This week the Falcons have their work cut out for them from a Fantasy aspect and from a game aspect.  The Niners have a top tier defense and have been playing like the Super Bowl contenders they are.  SF defense has held opposing QBs to an average QB rating of 73.3.  That's brutal for opposing QBs.  QB Colin Kaepenick has not played with the confidence of a Super Bowl QB for much of the season but he is starting to show some of his old self as of late.  RB Frank Gore is still churning out TDs in the Niners offense.  He has one more than he totaled last season, and is nearing the 1,000 yard mark on the season.  Vernon Davis is second in the league among TEs with 12 TDs.  Anquan Boldin and Michael Crabtree are together in the passing game and it might take time for them to develop chemistry but when it all comes together, and it will, watch out.  Both WRs will benefit from the others presence on the field.  This duo will create Fantasy gold for years to come.  Any 49ers player should be in your lineup this week.  They will produce.    Atlanta is almost at the end of a sad season and they have one foot out the door.  This game means nothing to them while the Niners need to win to stay ahead of the Cardinals who will be out of contention if they lose to the Seahawks in Seattle.  The Niners are hot at just the right time of the year and they will stay hot.
My Final:  SF 31  ATL 23

Sunday Night Football

Chicago Bears (8-6) @ Philadelphia Eagles (8-6)
     This figures to be a good, high scoring, Fantasy points producing game.  The Bears have a pair of WRs that have combined for more than 2400 yards receiving.  That's got to bode well for any QB that throws them the ball.  Last week, it was Jay Cutler and after throwing two early picks his stats showed just how valuable his receivers are.  Brandon Marshall has been the guy for the last two seasons with Cutler.  Since the beginning of last season, Marshall has 210 receptions, 2,743 yards, and 21 touchdowns.  His chemistry with Cutler is incredible.  Now he has another receiver competing for targets and both of them are producing.  Alshon Jeffery has quietly become one of the best receivers in the game in just his second pro season.  He's got just as many yards as Marshall with ten fewer catches and seven TDs on the season.  I wish Icould start both these receivers every week.  How could you go wrong with that.  The Bears also have dual threat RB Matt Forte who has totaled more than 1600 yards and has scored 9 TDs on the year.  The entire Bears team is a Fantasy machine.
     The Eagles aren't bad themselves.  QB Nick Foles is becoming the next big thing.  He has excelled in Chip Kelly's offense and last week he threw for more than 400 yards.  He's also only been picked off twice.  Eagles RB Lesean McCoy is the NFL's leading rusher and has eight total TDs on the season.  WR Desean Jackson has revived his career.  He totaled 195 yards last week putting his season total at 1275.  He had 9 TDs to go with the yards.  This will be a hard fought game on both sides.  Each team has a playmaker to counter the others.  This is about as evenly matched as a game can be.  So for me it comes down to which defense will step up.  If the Bears get Lance Briggs back in time it will give them a needed edge.  On the season though, the Eagles have kept opposing teams from scoring as much, though the Vikings did put up 48 against them last week.  I like the home team in this prime time showdown.  the Eagles will win.
My Final:  PHI   41  CHI 35

 

Week 16 Fantasy Football Edition

New Orleans Saints (10-4) @ Carolina Panthers (10-4)
     This game not only has huge implications for this Fantasy weekend but it's also for first place in the NFC South.  It is my firm belief that whoever wins this game will win this division and clinch the 2nd seed in the NFC.  Needless to say, both teams will be playing their A game.  The Saints have one of the second fantasy points leader in QB Drew Brees.  Brees has put together another MVP
 caliber season throwing for 34 TDs and 4500 yards and only 10 interceptions.  No matter who his opponent is he puts up big numbers.  Don't expect the four TD performance that he had the last time he played the Panthers, but he is still a must start.  I know the Panthers will have a good game plan to limit Brees in the passing game.  And with the Saints 3-4 road record Brees is likely to struggle a bit.  His go to target, Jimmy Graham was contained against the Rams last week and the Panthers did well containing him two weeks ago.  They did it by smothering Graham with double coverage for most of the night.  That approach left Marques Colston open and he capitalized on it.  Colston has been on a tear over the last two games TDs and averaging just over 100 yards The key for the Panthers is to stop both Graham and Colston.  It won't be easy.  The Panthers will have to change their coverage and pay a little more attention to Colston.  So, if I had to pick a receiver to start in my Fantasy league, it would probably be Graham over Coltson.  More attention to Colston will mean more targets for Graham. 
     The Panthers have Fantasy stars of their own.  The last time these teams played each other, Cam Newton was shut down, leaving Fantasy owners puzzled about his performance.  Newton will bounce back this time around.  The key for the Panthers is to get the early lead but this time they need to score TDs not field goals.With an early lead, the Panthers can get a little more creative and draw up some run plays for Newton and not have to rely on his passing game.  As long as they do that, Newton will shine.  He will need help though.  And RB Deangelo Williams will be called upon to run the football much like he did last week against the Jets.  Williams should have a nice game if everything goes as planned.  The Carolina defense is a must start anytime they are at home.  Drew Brees throws most of his interceptions when he's away from the Super Dome so expect the Panthers to come up with a turnover or two.  Since this game is in Charlotte I expect it to be low scoring.  Those are the types of games that the Panthers win.  Carolina is 10-1 when their opponents score 21 or less points.  The one loss was against Seattle in week one when the final was 12-7.  At home the  Panthers hold opponents to an average of just 11.8 points a game.  Meanwhile, the Saints average just 18 points a game when on the road.  That's 14 points lower than what they average at home.  The Saints haven't lost two games in a row all season, but there is a first time for everything.  I think the Panthers will prevail with their defense.
My Final:  CAR 17 NE 16

New York Giants (5-9) @ Detroit Lions (7-7)
     The Giants have been as big disappointment in all aspects of Fantasy Football.  Eli Manning has thrown 25 interceptions and only 16 TDs.  He is having one of the worst seasons of his career.  That leaves Victor Cruz starving for receptions.  He's done well, given the circumstances.  He has almost 1,000 yards and 4 TDs.  If you have Cruz on your team this might be a decent week to start him.  The Lions have given up 22 TDs in the air and QBs post an average rating of 88.2 against them.  For the Lions, they played one of their worst games all season Monday night.  Matt Stafford threw for three interceptions and one TD.  He now has 21 turnovers on the year (17 interceptions and 4 fumbles).  Stafford has always thrown picks but he's usually made up for it with 5,000 yard seasons.  He's got 28
TDs on the year and still has a chance to get to 5,000 this season, but he will need to have back to back great games.  More importantly, the Lions are on the verge of not making the playoffs for the second season in a row.  After a good start and so much hope, even if they win  the rest of their games they still need the Bears and Packers to lose at least once.  This is a Lions team with so much talent that it's sad to see them playing so poorly.  I don't know why they are, but the blame is going to fall on Head Coach Jim Shwartz.  As for Fantasy, Matt Stafford and Reggie Bush are must starts this week along with Calvin Johnson.  Megatron is having another great year to add to his Hall of Fame bound career.  He is always a must start no matter who is defending him.  As for the game, I don't expect Stafford and the Lions to play that badly two games in a row at home.  What I do expect is for Eli Manning to continue to throw interceptions, make mistakes and have the worst season of his  career.  It's the only thing he's done consistently all year.  The Lions will win by at least a touchdown.
My Final:  DET 31   NYG 23

Pittsburgh Steelers (6-8) @ Green  Bay Packers (7-6-1)
     The Steelers playoff hopes are still alive but they need a lot of help.  This is good for Fantasy owners that have Steelers players on their teams because you know that they will be playing with a purpose.  QB Ben Rothlisberger has put together a masterful season.   When all hope was lost for his team he put the team on his back and is having one of the best seasons of his career.  He's thrown 26 TDs and has piled up over 4000 yards.  He should have a lot of success throwing against Green Bay's poor pass defense.  Rookie RB Leveon Bell is becoming a star in Pittsburgh.  He should also be in your line up if you  hgave him.  The Packers havew allowed 4.4 yards a carry and 12 rushing TDs.  While the Steelers have a good rookie back in Bell, the Packers have the most productive rookie in Eddie Lacy.  Lacy is on fire lately.  He ran for over 100 yards and TD against the Cowboys last week.  He has over 1,000 yards and eight TDs on the year.  The Steelers are in the bottom of the league in run defense so Lacy is a must start this week.  Aaron Rodgers is not likely to play this week so that leaves Matt Flynn to start for the third week in a row.  Don't forget about Steelers Antonio Brown.  He's been lighting it up all season so if you got 'em start 'em.  Especially against the Packers.  This game means a lot for the Packers.  More than it does for the Steelers  because it's such s long shot that Pittsburgh will even make the playoffs.  Green Bay is at home and they have a lot of momentum after winning the last two games by one point each.  This is a team that may start slow, but with Flynn they are starting to find their rhythm in the offense.  Eddie Lacy is a big reason for their success.  He will have a big day this Sunday, too.  The Packers will edge out the Steelers at Lambeau Field.
My Final:  GB 24   PIT 21

Arizona Cardinals (9-5) @ Seattle Seahawks (12-2)
     This game is pretty simple and so is my Fantasy advice for it.  Do not start anyone from the Arizona Cardinals.  Not Larry Fitzgerald, not Carson Palmer, no one!   Think the Seahawks don't have anything else to play for?  Think that they just might let up a little, be looking towards the playoffs?  Thinnk Arizona stands a chance?  No.  No.  and No.  The Seahawks play every game like it's the playoffs and still playinhg for home field advantage.  Russle Wilson is 14-0 at home in his career.  He has a QB rating of 106.5  with 24 TDs and 458 rushing yards on the year.  The other half of the Seahawks offense is RB Marshawn Lynch. Lynch has rushed for 1,079 yawrds, has 11 TDs and has caught 33 passes for two more scores and 07 yrds.  Bpoth Lynch and Wilsonj should start in your lineup this week.  At home, they are a duo that is hard to stop.  The Seahawks defense has 22 interceptions and put up monster Fantasy points every week.  At home, the Seahawks haven't lost since 2011.  They don't have any more road games in the regular season and with a win Sunday, they will clinch home field advantage throughout the playoffs.  This means that the Seahawks won't have to travel until they go to the Super Bowl in New Jersey, February 2nd.  The Seahawks won't lose another game this season, playoffs and Super Bowl included.
My Final:  SEA 30  ARZ 17

Oakland Raiders (4-10 @ San Diego Chargers (7-7)
     The Raiders were blown out on their home field last week by the Chiefs.  It's been another disappointing year in Oakland.  The Raiders' one Fantasy elite went through another injury riddled season.   Yes, I'm talking about RB Darren McFadden.  The player formerly known as Run DMC played well when he was healthy.  He has four TDs on the season and he could play this week, but I just don't see the point.  The Raiders season is almost over and why would McFadden risk more injury or embarrassment.  He is in the final year of his contract and I'm interested to see if and who e will sign him.  The Raiders receiving corp is led by Rod Streater,  who has just over 800 yards and 4 TDs on the season.  There isn't any person on this Raiders team that I would start in the championship rounds of Fantasy leagues. 
     The Chargers have been good the last two games on defense.  They held the Broncos to their fewest points of the season last week, and the week before they shut the Giants out in the first half and held them to 14 points total.  Phillip Rivers has reestablished himself as one of the leagues elite QBs after having his best season since 2011.  He has a QB rating of 106.4 and is on pace to throw 33 TDs and 4500 yards.  All while only throwing 9 picks and completing more than 70% of his passes.  H is a must start this week at home against the Raiders weak defense.  San Diego is still alive in the wild card race and will be playing tough every game.  The combination of RBs Ryan Mathews on the ground and Danny Woodhead in the passing game is the main reason that this team is where it is.  Mathews has done good at staying healthy.  He's over the 1,000 yard mark and has 5 rush RDs along with 20 receptions and another TD in the air.  Another surprise this season is the playmaking ability of RB and ex-Patriot Danny Woodhead, who has acted more as a receiver, hauling in more than 5 receptions for more than 550 yards and six receiving TDs along with 2 more rush scores.  Rookie WR Keenan Allen has stepped up as Rivers' number one target.  He had nearly 1,000 yards and 5 TDs.  The Chargers have potential to score 30+ points every game.  And this week they face a Raiders team that just gave up 56 points last week.  The Chargers will win big and their players will produce in your Fantasy lineups. 
My Final:  SD 38 OAK 26


      

Week 16 Fantasy Football Special Edition

     Welcome to a special Fantasy Football Edition of the Weekly Sports Rundown.  This is the championship round and there are a lot of favorable match ups that could help your fantasy team win it all.  Last week we saw surprises, letdowns and even a five touchdown performance by a running back.  This edition of the Rundown will help you decide who will have the break out performance that could win it all for your team.

Denver Broncos (11-3)  Houston Texans (2-12)
     The entire Bronco team has been fantasy gold all year long and has been a nightmare for other owners to go up against.  From nobody turned superstar, Julius Thomas, to the man himself Peyton Manning.  The Broncos have delivered week after week.  Last Thursday was a different story tough.  Was sit a fluke?  Or is it something to worry about heading into this weekend.  Well, first o all, Thursday night games are always sloppy.  We know that.  Teams are just not themselves when only having three days to practice and rest.  Denver was held to its lowest points all season and therefore it's lowest Fantasy out put.  But what is also bad is that the Houston Texans are a good team at defending the pass.  Thy have the lowest yardage against so don't be surprised if Mannng is held below 300.  But there is good news too.  The Texans give up  lot of touchdowns despite allowing such few yards. hey only have six interceptions on the year.  Peyton Manning is always a must start.  Some players you might want to stay away from are Demarius Thomas, Knowshon Moreno, Wes Welker.  Moreno and Welker have put in a lot of work over this season.  Welker has had concussion after concussion and Moreno has also been banged up lately. These are two key guys that the Broncos need in the play off.  They don't want to risk any further injury to either one.  The Broncos have the luxury of a top seeded record in the AFC.  So they can afford to rest some of their guys.  As for Demarius Thomas he's going against a good Texans secondary and if Welker and Moreno are limited, it will have a direct effect on his coverage.  He's probably good for about 60-70 yards and score, but if you have a solid backup WR that you think can do better, go ahead and take a chance.  The guys that should still shine are Decker, Julius Thomas, and of course, Peyton Manning.  If you have them, start them.  Matt Prater is also a must start kicker.
     For the Texans, it's been a disappointing season all across the board.  First, you had the injury to Arian Foster, then Matt Shaub's subpar play leading to the subpar play of players around him.  They have lost 12 games in a row and at this point there is only one player that is a must start.  That's obviously Andre Johnson.  Johnson has over 1300 yards and five TDs.  He will get plenty of opportunities to put up big numbers against a Broncos defense that has allowed 26 TDs and over 4,000 passing yards.    Ben Tate has had his moments in 2013, but his overall stats don't give his owners much hope.  Apart from Johnson, I'd consider it a gamble to start anyone else on this Texans team.  Sure, Tate and Garret Graham could have some opportunities, but this Texans team is at rock bottom and they didn't even show signs of fight against the Colts last week.  If you have someone else, I'd start 'em.  As for the game, Huston doesn't stand a chance.  Denver will win easily.
My Final:   DEN 34  HOU 2

Miami Dolphins (8-6) @ Buffalo Bills (5-9)
     The Dolphins have had a weird season.  They started out 3-0, then lost their next four.  They had a locker room issue that went public, players left and got suspended.  They lost half of their offensive line and now they are in position to make the playoffs for the first time since 2008.  Along the way there hasn't been a great deal of Fantasy greatness.  That has left owners o mot Dolphin disappointed.  Most of the star players on this team have been good back ups at best.  The only consistent stat has been the defense who have 17 interceptions, 39 sacks and hold opposing QBs to an average QB rating of 76.1.  Mike Wallace was supposed to be a superstar in this Miami offense.  He has been steady as of late but he only has 3 TDs going into last Sunday.  Ryan Tannehill has had a great year in terms of winning football games.  He had some problems with turnovers, throwing 14 interceptions and losing 5 fumbles, but he's gotten his act together.  Last week he had his first career game where he threw for 3 t|ds and no interceptions  On the season he has a QB rating of 88.3 and actually has thrown more touchdowns than Tom Brady.  I can't imagine a reason to start Tannehill in this weeks games.  While he does have a favorable match up against the Bills, more than likely if your team is in the championship rounds it's because you have had a QB that's not Ryan Tannehill.  Mike Wallace and Brian Hartline are good starts for this championship weekend.  But obviously not both. I also like TE Charles Clay.  If he's on your roster he's a must start.  The Bills have allowed 26 passing TDs this year.
     As for the Bills when it comes to a Fantasy standpoint, they've been horrible all across the board.  If you have any one of them on your team you should have cut them weeks ago.  Don't start anyone  on this Bills team, especially against this surging Miami defense.  As for the game... the Dolphins are playing great.  They've won three in a row and are playing with confidence.  Their defense is underrated and in my opinion they belong in the conversation for one of the league's best.  The Dolphins will not be stopped, especially by this weak Bills team.
My Final:  MIA 27 BUF 17

Tennessee Titans (5-9) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (4-10)
     With a combined 9-19 record between these two teams you would think that there isn't much Fantasy hopes in this game.  But you are wrong.  These two clubs aren't playing for anything else.  They are both eliminated from playoff contention and are far away from having a winning season.  The Titans have two players that could help your team this week.  #1 Chris Johnson.  He's been inconsistent, yes, but, the Jags have allowed over 1700 yards on the ground for an average of 4.2 yards a carry and have given up 16 rushing TDs.  Johnson only has five TDs and less than 1000 yards, but he will have a big game this Sunday.  #2 is Kendal Wright.  He's been the go to man in the receiving game for Tennessee.  He has 150 yards on 12 receptions.  The Jags will provide him with more opportunities to put up numbers.  Jacksonville has allowed 28 TDs in the air this season and Tennessee QB Ryan Fitzpatrick , while he's definitely a Fantasy highlight reel, he has been able to put up numbers when he's not throwing interceptions.  Both teams have terrible defense so even if you have someone on the Jaguars team you could see them have Fantasy success this Sunday.  On guy that I have my eye on is Cecil Shorts.  He's been quiet as o late but he could have a big day against the Titans.  Tennessee has only allowed 12 TDs going into last Sunday.  If you have someone better, I'd use them.  The Jaguars are at the end of a long season.  Everyone just can't wait for the year to be over.  I don't think you'll see too much competitive juices flowing from either side.  The game won't be anything exciting to watch unless, of course, you are a die hard fan of one of these teams.  Jacksonville's been hot before losing last Sunday and Tennessee has been competitive in its last three losses.  I think with their receivers and running game that the Titans will have the advantage.
My Final:  TEN 28 JAC 20

Week 16 Post 2

Indianapolis Colts (9-5) @ Kansas City Chiefs (11-3)
     Most of the Fantasy points in this game will probably come from KC who has been incredibly HOT lately.  But the Colts have had a couple guys that have put up some good numbers.  Andrew Luck has already become one of the better QBs in Fantasy Football and it's just his second year.  He's thrown for a respectable 21 TDs and almost 3500 yards.  But this season has had its rough spots and it's understandable that with a subpar running game and an injury to their number one WR why Luck hasn't put up better numbers. The entire Colts team faces a tough task against the surging Chiefs.  I wouldn't start anyone in this game unless you have to.  Luck will most likely get you about 200 yards and a TD, possibly two.  But that's no sure thing.  The Chiefs defense has held opposing QBs to an average QB rating of just 78.4.  Luck and Vinatieri are the only ones on the Colts that I would start; have put up 101 points in their last two games.    Jamaal Charles had five last week and had 185 receiving yards.  The week before he had 151 yards rushing and TD.  So he can do it all.  And while it might seem like he is the teams entire offense.   Alex Smith quietly threw for five TDs while the Chiefs scored 56 points against Oakland.  The Colts defense is just as bad and probably even worse than the Raiders.  They've allowed 13 rush TDs and 4. yards a carry.  Under Coach Andy Reid has been brilliant at when to use Charles as a receiver and as a runner.  This week I think he'll be used more in the running game.  He might not have five TDs again but I think he's good for 100-150 yards rushing and two scores.  Another big Fantasy must start is the Chief's defense.  They have sixteen interceptions, lead the league in  sacks and have scored lots of touchdowns.  As for the game, the Colts beat the Texans last week but still have trouble running the ball.  It won't get any easier against the Chiefs.  The Chiefs are playing at a level that they haven't played at all season.  It would be amazing if the Colts were able to go into Kansas City and upset the Chiefs.  The Colts have done it all year, but my guess is they won't be able to do it again.  They are a different team than they were earlier this season when they beat the Seahawks, 49ers and Broncos.  The Chiefs will stay hot and win big.
My Final:  KC 35  IND 26

Cleveland Browns (4-10) @ New York Jets (6-8)
     This game means very little to most people unless, of course, you have Josh Gordon on your team.  The league's leading receiver has put together a season for the record books.  He leads the league in yards despite missing the first two games of the season.  He has been Fantasy gold and in most leagues he wasn't even drafted.  Last week he was cooled off a bit by the freezing wind coming off of Lake Erie and the Chicago defense.  Gordan was able to muster 67 yards and a TD so he wasn't a total letdown.  Ad that's why he should start every week no matter the matchup.  This week especially since the Jets are weak against the pass.  The Jets are one of the best teams at stopping the run but the Browns don't run well and usually opt to pass in every situation.  Apart from Gordan you could also see some numbers put up by Browns TE Jordan Cameron.  Cameron has seven TDs so far and has amassed nearly 900 receiving yards with 72 receptions.  Cleveland defense has also been good this season.  They can get to the QB putting up points for sacks and fumbles.  They have also been good lately at scoring TDs.  Last week they had two against the Bears.  Against the Jets the Browns should have more turnovers.  Jets QB  Geno Smith has thrown 21 so far.  The Jets top receiver has a total of 388 yards and their top rusher doesn't have more than 700 yards.  I wouldn't start any Jets player on my team.  This is another game that is pretty much meaningless.  The Browns have played good but not great.  They have led opponents in the second half only to let each of those teams come back and win.  Stats are one thing but until you can close out games and keep teams from scoring when it matters, then you are not top ten.  The Jets have played their best football at home but I don't think they match up well against the Browns.  The Browns should have a ton of success throwing the ball and the Jets will struggle against the Browns defense.  As long as the Browns can play competitive for four quarters, and I think they will, they will win.  The Browns will play their most complete game of the season and end their losing streak.
My Final:  CLE 38  NYJ 24

New England Patriots (10-4) @ Baltimore Ravens (7-7)
     The Patriots lost their biggest Fantasy producer against the Browns two weeks ago but that news is only bad for Rob Gronkowski owners.  Danny Amendola will benefit the most from Gronks absence.  Last week he had over 130 yards against the Dolphins. Tom Brady will look to Amendola to pick up the slack in the passing game.  This is a team that still has play makers.  The Ravens have allowed 21 TDs through the air and opponents average a QB rating of 86.6.  Brady should have success and put up good Fantasy points for your championship round.  Also, if you need a running back for this week's game, look at Vereen.  He' a dual threat and Brady likes using him  For the Ravens it seems that the farther it gets into the season the better Joe Flacco plays.  Now, Flacco has never been a great or even good Fantasy QB, but he might play better than usual since he's going against Tom Brady and the Pats.  This is a big game for both clubs.  Every time these two teams play there is a playoff atmosphere and that's when Flacco is at his best.  One person that will benefit from Flaccos success is his go to target Torrey Smith.  Smith has over 1,000 yards and will get plenty of opportunities come Sunday.   Ray Rice has had the worst season of his career but he is still a dual threat back that could put up decent numbers.  In this game the Patriots should have their offense figured out.  Tom Brady will rely more on Amendola and Edleman to fill the void for Gronkowski.  The Ravens play best when they are at home.  They need this game if they want to make the wildcard.   But the Patriots love the idea of having the first round bye and will be playing for it.  The Ravens will have trouble keeping up with the Patriots.  Brady and the Patriots just have to start well and finish strong.  Too many times they have fallen behind in games and it bit them in the rear last week when the Dolphins didn't surrender their 24-20 lead.  The Patriots will win as long as they start well.
My Final:  N 26  BAL 24

Week 16 part 3

Dallas Cowboys (7-7 @ Washington Redskins (3-11)
   This is a game that is full of Fantasy stars.  The Cowboys, while losing hold of their season sill have much to fight for which means that Fantasy points will be high.  Dez Bryant passed the 1000 yard mark against the Packers as he had over 100 yards and a TD.  His antics at the end  of the game (walking off the  field with time remaining) should have no effect on his performance this
Sunday.  Bryant is just an emotional player that puts his heart an soul into winning.  That's not a bad thing against Washington.  He has no reason not to go over the century mark again.  Washington's defense is horrible.    They've allowed 26 pass TDs and over 3700 yards through the air.  Bryant also has 11 TDs on the year.  Tony Romo is a loser on the field but a winner in all Fantasy Leagues. He
has the reputation of not being able to win the big games and it's not all his fault.  `
The blame for the Cowboys downsides are the coaching and the defense.  This is a defense that should be playing the good players, but they are just poorly coached.  I'd bet all my money that  if  a guy like Andy Reid coached the Cowboys they'd be Super Bowl contenders.  Yes, it would make that big a difference.  Until that time Tony Romo will take the blame, but Romo has given his team chances to win week after week.  He has a QB rating of 98.3, he's only thrown 7 interceptions and is on the pace to have over 30 TDs and over 4,000 yards.  If he's on your roster this week he needs to start.  No questions.  Jason Witten is another weapon at the hands of Romo.  Romo likes throwing to him.  Witten is a must start.  He hasn't had the season of years past but he caught a TD and was targeted many times in the Cowboys loss last Sunday.  The Skins have allowed 19 rushing TDs and over 1500 yards on the ground.  DeMarco Murray should get a lot of carries.  He should easily top 100 yards and get at least one score.
     Need a QB?  Want to make a bold start for your week 16 lineup?   Take a look at Kirk Cousins.  Cousins is a guy that's been given an opportunity to make a name for himself.  He has the skill set to be a starting QB in the National Football League.  He also has a great matchup against the Dallas defense who ranks at the bottom of the league in all categories.  Add to that that he has a 1,000 yard running back behind him and a 1,000 yard receiver to throw to.  Cousins should light it up on Sunday.  Speaking of Alfred Morris, h's had an up and down year, yes, nothing like his rookie campaign.  But last week h got a lot of touches and ran for 98 yards, his highest total in the last four games.  Pierre Garcon is another must start in any league.  He had seven catches for 129 yards and a TD last week.  Garcon and Pittsburgh Steeler, Antonio Brown, are the only players to have at least 5 receptions in every game this year.  The last time a player has done that was nearly 20 years ago.  Either way you look at it this game will be a shoot out and the points total could  near 100.  That's a lot of Fantasy points!  Cowboys will win tough.  Count on it.
My Final:  DAL 41  WAS 35

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-10) @ St. Louis Rams (6-8)
     The Buccaneers have been hot after starting the season 0-8.  Since then they have won 4 of 6 and players like Vincent Jackson have shown why they are Fantasy gold every week no matter who is at QB.  Mike Glennon has had a quiet but very effective rookie year.  He has 17 TDs and has completed more than 60% of his passes, all of this in less than a full season.  Pretty much any running back in the TB offense has success thanks to the good offensive line.  Jackson is a must start this week against the Rams.  St. Louis upset the Saints in impressive fashion.  They made Jimmy Graham obsolete and they won with their back up QB and no Tavon Austn.  Zac Stacy ran for 107 yards and had a score in the upset of New Orleans.  Stacy has had a good rookie season so far, rushing for over 800 yards and six TDs in limited action.  If he's on your roster he would be a good start but not a must. The Rams played well a home last Sunday.  I'm not sure if it was them playing well or the Saints problems with road games.  I think the Rams are a team that is on the rise in today's NFL, but they are also a team who plays at their opponents level.  Four of their six wins games against playoff bound teams while they've lost three against losing teams.  The Rams have also dealt with injuries and a tough schedule.  It's sad that this game means nothing because this has the potential to be an entertaining game.  Both teams are better than their record shows.  I like the Rams  to win at home
My Final:  STL 27  TB 24

Minnesota Vikings (4-9-1) @ Cincinnati Bengals (9-5)
     Adrian Peterson is supposed to play in this game.  I'll start with that.  Peterson has 1221 yards and 10 TDs on the year.  He is maybe the best RB you could have in your lineup on championship weekend.  The bad news is that he's going against the Bengals who have only allowed 5 rushing TDs on the year.  But as I always say, "you have to let your stars be stars."  Meaning that when you have a player like Peterson on your roster you've got to throw out stats and forget about matchups and tendencies.  The Vikings scored 8 points last week against an Eagles defense that's been playing great.  The 48 points is the most they've scored all season.  They only have 4 wins but the Vikings are better than a four win team.  Yes, their defense is bad but they've been competitive all year. Four of their nine losses have been decided by four points or less.  I believe that Matt Cassel is the QB for this team.  If he'd have been the starter from day one...who knows?  Coach Leslie Frazier invested too much time into Christian Ponder who obviously wasn't getting it done.  Maybe next season for the Vikings but they have another playmaker for your Championship weekend, at least.  That guy is Greg Jennings.  Jennings had more than 150 yards and a TD against the Eagles.  Cassel and Jennings have developed good chemistry and he would be a good start against the Bengals. 
      For Cincinnati, they are an inconsistent bunch but are a much better team at home.  A.J. Green will have a field day against the Vikings secondary that has allowed more TDs than any other team (31).  Giovani Bernard is another dual threat RB that has big playmaking abilities.  Bernard has a right future, his only problem is the time he shares with Ben Jarvis Green-Ellis.  Bernard should be in your lineup against the Vikings.  He will get opportunities both in the passing game and on the ground.  As for the game itself, don't be fooled by the whooping the Vikings put on the Eagles last week and the whooping the Bengals took against the Steelers.  The Vikings are built to run the ball so I'm not surprised that anyone can have success in their system.  Also, the Bengals are the better team.  At home they are undefeated where they average 33 points a game.  Meanwhile, the Vikings have not won a single game on the road.  The Bengals will win and probably by ten.  Or more.
My Final:  CIN 38  MIN 24




 

Clarification of new addres

There seems to be a problem accessing the new site, so I have decided to go back to this site.  I'm sorry for the confusion. 

Upcoming this week will be a Fantasy Football Special layoffs edition.  Don't miss it.

New address

Week 15 has been posted along with my Fantasy Football picks
Check it out at:

          sportsrundownwithjrlondon.com

Changes to my Blog

 I have set up a new blog site.  To stay up to date for week 15 go to

Sports Rundown wit J.R. London @ BlogSpot.com

Sorry for any inconvenience.

Sunday Night Football

Carolina Panthers (9-3) @ New Orleans Saints (9-3)
     This year's surprise team is most definitely the Carolina Panthers.  They've won eight in a row and have the leagues best defense.  Cam Newton has done a wonderful job leading his team to victory.  H posts a QB rating of 88.3 and has done a good job protecting the football.  The Panthers have only allowed 151 points all year and just 12 tds.  Both league lows.
     For the Saints, the key to victory will be to get Cam Newton.  Defensive Coordinator Rob Ryan is great at blitzing from all angles.  I think if the Saints can do this it will give them a distinct advantage.  The Saints might have gotten beat bad by Seattle, but trust me, they learned something.  Facing the leagues top two defense teams in consecutive weeks is a tough task.    I believe Brees will have better luck throwing against Carolina than he had in Seattle.  A spark from the running game will help immensely, points will be at a premium in this game an it might come down to a last minute TD or FG.  When the game is on the line I like Brees to make it happen.  Both defenses have identical QB ratings against of 77.7 but Drew Brees has a passer rating 19 points higher than Newton.  Don't underestimate New Orleans defense in this game, especially at home.  The Saints will win a tight one at home.
My final: NO 20  CAR 17

As for the rest:
     GB over ATL 30-21
     NYJ beat OAK 26-20
     BAL over MIN 30-17
     TB over BUF 34-28
     DEN beats TEN 41-20
     KC over WAS  31-24
     SD over NYG  28-27
     DAL over CHI 30-27




 

Week 14 Part 2

St. Louis Rams (5-7) @ Arizona Cardinals (7-5)
    
The Rams, who were on a two game win streak, where they scored 80 points in those  two games were slowed down and limited to just 13 points.  Speedster Tavin Austin has the ability to make big plays at any given time.  Back up QB Clemens has done a nice job filling in for injured Sam Bradford.  I believe this team is showing signs of what's to come in the near future.  The have weapons on offense, all they need is for their underachieving defense to step up.  They ma need to add some pieces in the off season but the Rams are close.  On Sunday, look for them to get creative against the Cardinals.  Tavon Austin can and will be used in many ways on the offensive side. RB Zack Stacy will have an edge if he can get positive yardage on first and second down plays.  The defense will have its hands full with Carson Palmer and Fitzgerald.  Palmer throws a lot of INTs, he had two last week and if that continues it will set up St Louis with big opportunities. 
     For the Cardinals, they are a team that is also on the rise.  Their defense is becoming on of the best in the league. They have 15 interceptions and hold opposing QBs to a passer rating of just 77.8.   On offense they have playmakers in Fitzgerald and Floyd.  RB Andre Ellington has taken over at position but was held out last Sunday because of a concussion.  He should be back this week to help boost the offense  against the Rams who are poor against the run.  Having Ellington back will help ease the pressure on Palmer.  This is a game that Arizona must win if they want to stay in the wild cad race.  If they lose this game they might as well kiss their season goodbye.  That is why I think they will come out with the win at home.
My final:  ARZ 31  STL 27

Seattle Seahawks (11-1) @ San Francisco 49ers (8-4)
     Seattle improved to an NFL best record as they shutdown the high powered offense of New Orleans.  Now you cam say that if the game was played in the Superdome in New Orleans that the outcome might have been different.  I don't think so.  This is a Seattle team that is catching fire right now.  Their defense is lights out.  The Saints averaged more than 27 points a game and were held to just 7 Monday night.  Seattle's defense ranks second overall and as a team they have outscored opponents 340-186.  They also hold opposing QBs to a passer rate 68.7!  That is the lowest average QB rating against in the NFL.  That is bad news for 49ers QB C. Kaepernick.  Kaepernick has a rating of 86.6, but has played better in recent weeks but has struggled against good defensive teams.  As mentioned before, the Seahawks are one of the best .
     What the 49ers will do is try to run the ball.  It's something they've done well for the last and the Seahawks have shown a weakness at times against the run.  The only problem is that Frank Gore has struggled as of late only reaching 100 yards one time since week four.   It's a bad time for the Niners to play the Seahawks.  They don't match up well and Seattle has won 7 in a row.  The last three they're outscored their opponents 108 - 37!  The 'Niners need this game more than the Hawks but that won't mean anything to Pete Carroll.  He will have his team playing like its the playoffs.  Seahawks will win.
My final:  SEA 24  SF 20

 

Week 14

Sunday December 8th, 1:00 p.m
Detroit Lions (7-5)  @ Philadelphia Eagles (7-5)
     The Lions won on Thanksgiving Day so they will have a few extra days rest for this game.  This is good in most ways but I worry about the momentum they've built.  They should be all right though.  The combination of  Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson has been magnificent this year.  Johnson leads all WRs with 1,198 total yards going into Sunday.  The Lions defense allowed just 10 points on Thanksgiving Day   If they can get that type of effort against the Eagles, it will give them the edge.
     Philadelphia, after their bye week, took care of the Cardinals, avoiding a fourth quarter comeback in the process.  They led the game 24-7 before Arizona scored twice in the fourth quarter but the Eagles held on for the win.   The 21 points were the most scored against them since week five when they  beat the Giants 36-21.   I believe Foles is the next elite QB in the league and the Eagles are no a Super Bowl contender with him.  The Eagles are just 2-4 at home while Detroit is 3-3 on the road.  So home field advantage won't mean much in this game.  The Eagles are riding a four game winning streak into Sunday.  If the Lions, who have been up and down all year can't slow the Philly offense, they will be in trouble. Both teams have a high powered offense.  Be up to whichever defense can get stops and the defense that has played best of late is the Eagles.  I think they will get it done and extend their streak to five games.
My Final:  Phi: 27  Det: 20 

Miami Dolphins (6-6)  Pittsburg Steelers (5-7)
    Despite all the distractions and off field issues, the Dolphins have put themselves into position to grab the second wild card spot.   They are currently tied with the defending Super Bowl champs, the Baltimore Ravens. The Miami defense has played sensational to this point.   Since their bye week seven weeks ago, they've held opponents to an average of  18.7 points a game.  In actuality their record could be 9-3.  They had early leads against Carolina and New England before late comebacks that led to two losses.  And they even led TB with ten minutes to go  in the fourth before losing on Monday night last month.  If the Dolphins can get their running game going along with Tannehill spreading the ball around like he's been doing, they might be a force to reckon with the in wild card race.  But their defense has to continue to play tough.  And Ryan Tannehill has to protect the ball.
    The Steelers lost a heartbreaker on Thanksgiving night to their rivals, the Baltimore Ravens. What might be worse than the loss is the loss of  Leveon Bell, who took a shot and was knocked unconscious in the end zone in the fourth quarter.   Bell has been the backbone to the Steelers running game.  Without him, I believe the Steelers will struggle to move the ball..  They will be hurting without Bell in a game like this Sunday against the strong defense of Miami.  QB Ben Rothlisberger will be left to throw the ball against a defense that allows a 75.8 passer rate against.  Whichever team can establish the run will come out on top.  With playoff implications on the line, it should be a hard fought game. I like the Dolphins to squeeze out a close one.
My Final:  Mia 21  Pit 16

Indianapolis Colts (8-4_ @ Cincinnati Bengals (8-4)
     Both of the teams come in leading their division.   Both teams have had their ups and downs throughout the year.   The Colts have knocked off Super Bowl favorites but have lost to cellar dwellers the next week.  Andy Dalton and the Bengals have looked elite in some games, then hopeless in others.   The Bengals have won two in a row and are at home so they are the favorite. 

     The Colts don't have a running back that has at least 500 rushing yards.  They lost veteran Reggie Wayne and have struggled on offense ever since.   The defense allows a passer rating against of 92.4.  They will give Andy Dalton many opportunities to  perform like an elite QB again.  The Bengals are more balanced, have a better defense and have more weapons on offense.  The Colts are bad on defense and won't be able to keep up with the Bengals offense.  Cincinnati wins at home.

My final:  CIN 34  IND 27

 

Cleveland Browns (4-8) @ New England Patriots (9-3) 

     The Browns have lost three in a row since their bye week and might have hit rock bottom last week when they lost to the Jaguars.  QB Brandon Weeden is now 0-5 as a starter in 2013.    He put up big numbers thanks to WR Josh Gordon, the second year receiver out of Baylor, racked up over 200 yards for the second week in a row.   That is an NFL record.  He continues to  be one of the only bright spots on this offense.  The defense has done well.   They continue to be one of the best in the league and are really going to be something special in the near future.   The Browns have nothing more to play for this season except draft position.  They won a close one against 2-10 Texan team, but the Texans and Pats teams always play good games against each other.  Tom Brady threw for over 300 yards in consecutive games for the first time all season.  The NE offense is starting to look like the old NE offense.  If Ridley and Blount can team up against the Browns  with success ten it will lead to huge passing plays all day.  Cleveland hasn't played a team with a TE like Gronkowski  so it will be interesting to see how the Cleveland defense matches up against him.  Opponents average an 83.0 passer rating against the Browns.  Brady has a passer rating of 86.3 but that number is not indicative of the way he has played the past month.  Brady and the well coached Patriots will have an excellent game plan and will score their 10th victory of the season.   It won't even be close.

My final: N E 38  CLE 25

 

 

 

Rundown Rankings Week 14

#1   Seattle Seahawks - they've outscored opponents108 - 37 in the last three games
#2   Denver Broncos - big division win puts them in sole possession of first place for first time all season
#3   Carolina Panthers - number 1 defense in entire league.  Big showdown Sunday night in New Orleans
#4   New England Patriots - a soft remaining schedule could have the division wrapped up on December 15th
#5    New Orleans Saints - can't beat the elite on the road.  Let's see how the handle another elite team at home.
#6     Kansas City Chiefs - they've lost three in a row and opponents have scored 102 points in that span
#7   Cincinnati Bengals - winning on the road with their defense.  Good signs
#8   San Francisco 49ers - they're 1-4 against teams that have winning records
#9   Philadelphia Eagles - Make it ten games in a row that opponents haven't scored more than 21
#10  Detroit Lions - finally beat the Packers, finally won on Thanksgiving Day.  Let's see if they can win two in a row for the first time in nearly two months
#11  Arizona Cardinals - they were missing a big part of the offense against Philly
#12  Dallas Cowboys -
#13  Indianapolis Colts - they still lack a running game but they still find ways to win
#14  Baltimore Ravens - back in the playoff picture.  For now.  They are best when they are at home and playing losing teams.  Remaining schedule doesn't bode well for the champs.
#15   Miami Dolphins - at 6-6 they control their own destiny.

FANTASY FOOTBALL

QBs  - #1  P Manning #1  M. Stafford  #3 N. Foles  #4  M. Ryan  #5  T. Romo
RBs     #1  J. Charles  #2  G. Bernard  #3. Peterson  #4 D. Murray  #5  B. Tate
WRs   #1  C. Johnson  #2  A.J. Green  #3  V. Jackson  #4  D, Jackson  #5 W. Welker
TEs     #1  A Gates  #2  R. Gronkowski  #3 J Witten  #4  J. Cameron  #5  J. Reed
D/ST    #1 KC  #2  SEA  #3  NE  #4  HOU  #5 DEN
Ks   #1  J. Tucker  #2  S. Gostowski  #3  A .Vinatieri  #4  S. Suisham  5.  D. Akers






  

Top Fantasy Stars for Week 12

QB  RB
#1  Peyton Manning    1. .J. Charles
#2  Matt Stafford    2.  F. Gore
#3  Tom Brady   3. R. Bush

WRs  TEs
#1  V. Cruz    1. J. Graham
#2   D. Thomas   2  R. Gronkowski
#3  J. Gordon   3.  V. Davis

DEF  K
#1  SF   1. G. Hartley
#2  Car   2. A Vinatieri
#3  Bal   3.  S. Gostkowski

Rundwn Rankings Week 13

#1  Seattle Seahawks - Monday night showdown against the Saints could set them apart from the rest of the league.
#2   New Orleans Saints - at home they are golden but on the Road?  Not so much
#3   Denver Broncos - Hey, Peyton!  The Super Bowl is in New Jersey.  Better get used to the cold.
#4   Carolina Panthers - 7 in a row.  Newton gets it done when it matters.
#5   New England Patriots - if 24 points and three takeaways isn't enough, what is?
#6   Kansas City Chiefs - injuries to two best defensive players will be detrimental
#7   Cincinnati Bengals - tough three games against SD, IND and PIT
#8   San Francisco 49ers - they won when they needed to
#9   Arizona Cardinals - I can't help but think of Kurt Warner when I see Carson Palmer win with this team
#10  Indianapolis Colts - Quick! Somebody!  Find them a running back!  A defense would help too
#11  Dallas Cowboys - last second wins build momentum.  Something they need
#12  Philadelphia Eagles - time to see if Foles is for real
#13  Detroit Lions - two me skid can be blamed on lack of aggression
#14  Chicago Bear - still tied for first place
#15  Pittsburgh Steelers - they are the favorite right no to win the wild card.  All the have to do is stay  hot.

Thanksgiving Day

Green Bay Packers (5-5-1) @ Detroit Lions (6-5)
    
     The Packers will get Aaron Rodgers back just in time to finish the season. He is the difference between this team winning and losing.  When he is in the game you can see a completely different vibe all across the team.  They have no confidence without Rodgers.  The Green Bay defense failed to step up without Rodgers.  They allowed at least 26 points in each of the four games without Rodgers.  Adrian Peterson rushed for 143 yards and a td against the Packers on Sunday.  It was the most yards put up against them by a RB this season.

     The Lions have lost two in a row against teams with losing records.  Matt Stafford was intercepted four times by the Buccaneers.  The god news was that even with the Lions turning the ball over five times, they only lost by three points and had a chance to win the game.  Detroit's problem in their two game skid has been their inability to take control of the game.  More often than not they have been playing from behind and find themselves trying to catch up.  That's been the case throughout the season.  If they can get an early lead and not let up they will be an unstoppable force.

     Sunday's game will be for first place in the division.  Both teams need this game badly.  The Packers will rely heavily on RB Eddie Lacy.  The Lions have a good run defense but Lacy ran for over 100 yards against the Vikings.  Rodgers should be able to air it out against the Lions, who are bad against the pass.  They've allowed 21 tds in the air this year.  But the Packers are almost as bad.  They have just four interceptions on the year and allow opponents to post a QB rating of 98.8 against them.  Stafford and the Lions will be throwing the ball a lot.  Megatron will get open thanks to the return of Nate Burleson who is a threat himself.  Green Bay should have trouble stopping the Lions but should be able to keep up.  This will be a high scoring game  The advantage goes to the home team.  The Lions should edge out the Packers, maybe as time runs out.
My Final:  Det 34  GB 30

Oakland Raiders (4-7) @ Dallas Cowboys (6-5)

     The Raiders, like a lot of teams, have injury problems starting with QB and continuing with RB.  Missing both McFadden and Pryor has been detrimental for an offense that loves to run the ball.  When two key guys like that go down it leaves the offense in bad shape.  The Raiders, with three QBs, have posted QB rating of 75.7.   Meanwhile, the defense allows opponents to a QB rating of 98.1.  This season the Raiders have been out scored 194-246.

     The Cowboys, despite having one of the worst defenses in the NFL, are 6-5 and fighting for first place.  They shouldn't be as bad as they are on defense,  They have a good group, this shows in the turnover margin where the Cowboys are tops in the NFC, and in my opinion, the blame falls on the coaching staff.  The offense is always a threat to put up huge numbers against any team.

     This game will be hard fought on both sides because of the national spotlight.  Nobody wants to lose on Thanksgiving while the whole world is watching.  The Cowboys need this game more than the Raiders who are virtually out of the wild card race.  The Raiders defense has allowed 21 td passes and the Cowboys will add to that number  Romo will attack the defense and should have success in doing so.  Looking at the numbers on paper you would think that the Raiders would have success against the Cowboys defense.  But, with the Cowboys at home, along with the Raiders injuries, I think the Boys will tighten up on defense.  Dallas will get out to an early lead and the rout should be on.
My Final:  Dal 38  Oak 26

Pittsburgh Steelers (5-6) @ Baltimore Ravens (5-6)

     A few weeks ago seeing this game on the schedule you would have thought it would be a meaningless game.  But, after the Steelers started out 0-4, they've won five of seven and are looking to capture the final wild card spot.  This game could decide who gets it.  The Steelers have won three in a row coming into this prime time match-up.  Big Ben has been great throwing the ball. He's racked up over 3,000 yards and 19 td. His main weapon is WR Antonio Brown.  Brown has  league high 82 rec and 1044 yards and six tds. PIT defense ranks third against the pass.

     The defending champs have been inconsistent this year.  They are best when they are at home though, where they are 4-1.  Ray Rice started to reemerge in the offense two weeks ago against the Bear, but disappeared against the Jets.  His inconsistencies have been a big problem and leave the Ravens with questions at the RB position for next season.  If there were ever a time for Rice to show up it will be Thanksgiving night under the lights.

     The Steelers defense has been weak against the run and if the Ravens want to in they need Rice to take advantage of his opportunities.  Joe Flacco has done little to earn the money he was paid
the off season.  He can start by leading his team to a win Thursday night  It won't be easy though.  The Steelers hold opposing QBs to an average of 215 yards a game. Flacco has thrown 13 interceptions so far and while the Steelers defense only has six they will look to capitalize on mistakes.  Flacco has been very poor at making decisions this year.  He posts a QB rating of just 75.3, not what you'd expect from a  Super Bowl MVP.  The days of Baltimore's high powered defense is gone. They no longer are the intimidating force they used to be.  Their one bright spot is against the run where they have only allowed one rushing td all year.  That means that Rothlisberger will have to get it done through the air, and he will.  The Ravens won't  be able to stop Big Ben and don't have enough weapons to keep up.
My Final:  Pit27  Bal-17
 

Week 12

Pittsburgh Steelers (4-6) Cleveland Browns (4-6) 

     The Steelers have won two in a row and are rolling after beating the high powered Lions by 10.  Big Bens number one target is Antonio Brown who had a big game against Detroit.  The defense has been solid.  They rank fifth against the pass but are in the bottom against the run.  Still, they did a great job controlling Reggie Bush and they might be improving. 
     The Browns started Sunday's game just like they needed to.  They made a couple of q2uik turnovers that led to 13 unanswered points but fell apart after that.  Jason Campbell came unglued and he wasn't the QB that he had been in recent weeks.
     On Sunday, the Browns will have the home field advantage.  This will give their defense an extra boost. The Hayden effect will eliminate Pittsburgh's #1 weapon from the game.  Pittsburgh will try to run the ball but the Browns are still one of the best in the league against the run.  The Browns, who usually have no running game should have some success against the Steelers.  If they can, then it will ease the load for Jason
Campbell who threw 54 times last week.  Bottom line, the Steelers are hot right now, they won two in a row at home   But like many teams, they are not as good away from home.  I like the Browns to bounce back in front of their home crowd.  As long as they run the ball and Jason Campbell doesn' commit turnovers, then the Browns will win.
My Final:  Pit-20  Cle 27

Minnesota Vikings (2-8) @ Green Bay Packers (5-5)
     The Vikings are not the same team they were a season ago.  That much is known.  They can't throw the ball, and only Adrian Peterson is having any effect on offense.  Their defense is one of the leagues worst and their schedule doesn't get any easier.  They are playing for nothing more than draft position.
     The Packers are without Aaron Rodgers for the third week.  They've lost three in a row.Their defense has not done anything to hold this team together.  Now is the time more than ever that this defense should step up but they've failed to do so.  Without Rodgers, you can see where this team is.  They are mediocre and probably worse than that.  They have no starts at all on offense.
     The good news is that they will play this game at home.  Hopefully, Rodgers will be back on Thanksgiving, but that means that they have to get it done without him his week.  The Green Bay defense needs to step up and contain AP.  That will be the key to this game.  It's a much needed game for this Packers team if they want to stay in the playoff race.  Look for them to pull out all the stops and somehow win this game.  They need it more and they should play like it.
My Final  Min-17  GB-24

San Diego Chargers (4-6) @ Kansas City Chiefs (9-1)
     The Chargers have lost three in a row and it doesn't seem like they have any idea of how to fix it.  Phillip Rivers has played well, putting up big numbers despite the lack of playmakers around him.  His best weapon is Antonio Gates who is nearing the end of his career.  The running game is subpar with Ryan Mathews and Danny Woodhead.  And the defense is terrible.  They depend too much on Rivers to carry the entire team.
     The Chiefs will try to bounce back after losing their first game of the year to the Broncos.  It was the second game in a row that they failed to record a sack.  The offense also looked weak and one dimensional.  KC is a team that likes to play it safe on offense and I'm not sure if it's on purpose or if it's out of necessity.  Alex Smoith will have to throw deep at one point and take some chances.  Sooner or later they have to show that they can do more than throw short passes or hand the ball off.  If not they will lose more games.  Sunday, Rivers will be counted on again to carry his team to victory.  He could have some success.  But it won't be enough to win.  KC, in front of their home crowd will be fired up.  SD offensive line will have fits trying to contain the Chiefs pass rushers.  Chiefs will win with their  defense.
My final:  SD-13  KC-23

Indianapolis Colts (7-3) @ Arizona Cardinals (6-4)
     The Colts have been great one game then terrible the next.  There seems to be no rhyme or reason to their success or their misery.  When they lose, many people want to point to their run game, or lack thereof.  But I point to their defense.  Indianapolis allows opposing QBs to put up an average QB rating of 90.2.  That's compared to Arizona, who holds QBs to a rating of 79.5  The Cardinals are also highly criticized for their poor running game.  But they seem to have a star in the making with Andre Ellington.  He averages 6.3 yards a carry and has three total TDs in limited action.  Arizona also has a strong defense.  They are one of the best in the league against the run.  If Carson Palmer can have an efficient game and not throw interceptions, then the edge goes to the home team.  But this game will be close and one interception could cost either team the game.  Palmer is one of the league leaders with 15 interceptions already.  I think the Cards can win this game because of their defense and the momentum they are riding.
My Final:  Ind-24  Arz-27

Dallas Cowboys (5-5) @ New York Giants (4-6)
     The Cowboys are coming off their bye week hoping to put a few disappointing losses behind them, the last of which was a 32 point blowout against New Orleans where the Cowboys didn't surpass 200 yards of total offense.  Their defense is one of the worst in the league and their running game is poor.  They need to get more from RB Demarco Murray so that Tony Romo can have better success throwing down the field.  The Cowboys defense post a 92.9 QB rating against.
     The Giants looked like one of the leagues laughing stocks a month ago.  Eli Manning's brother was breaking records and he couldn't stop throwing interceptions.  The Giants lost their first six games.! and now, four wins later, they are still in contention in the NFC East.  Out of all the teams in the NFC East I'd say the Giants have the best defense.  They allow a solid 79.2 QB rating against, and are decent against the run.  Without an every down RB, Eli Mannning has been forced into doing too much and making mistakes.  But that's not the reason for his league high 17 interceptions.  Throwing INTs has always been a part of Elis game.  In the past, the Giants lived with it.  This year it was only magnified by the 0-6 start.  Since the Cowboys are so terrible against the run, look for the Giants RBs to get a lot of touches early on.  Eli Manning will have his way with the Cowboys secondary.  As long as they can get positive yardage on first down, then Eli and the offense should have a field day.
     The Cowboys are the better team on paper.  They have playmakers all over the offense and the defense should be a lot better with the guys they have.  I believe a lot of the blame has to fall on the coaching staff.   Tony Romo is his own worst enemy.  This is a game that the Cowboys should win easily but there were other games I've said that about Dallas.  It just depends on what team will show up.  Will it be the team that took Denver to the wire or the team that couldn't put up 200 yards in their last outing?  The Giants are hot right now and Dallas isn't.  My money will always go with the momentum and the Giants have a ton.  During their four game win streak, the Giants have allowed only 12 points a game.
My final:  DAL 20, Giants 24
 

Rundown Rankings Week 12

#1   Denver Broncos - offensive line kept Manning upright..  No more undefeated teams
#2   Seattle Seahawks - Percy Harvin's back.  The defense is top of the league.  They're in first place.
#3   New Orleans Saints - if only they could play every game at home
#4   Kansas City Chiefs - still tied for first.  Still haven't beat a winning team.
#5   Carolina Panthers - How to make a statement in the NFL?  Beat the 49ers and the Patriots in consecutive weeks.
#6   New England Patriots - Manning vs Brady in week 12
#7   Cincinnati Bengals - Dominating win against the Browns before bye week has to feel good
#8   Indianapolis Colts -
#9   San Francisco 49ers - A tough two game stretch behind them.  They should bounce back.
#10  Chicago Bears - Winning without Cutler won't always  be pretty
#11  Philadelphia Eagles - good offense + good defense?  What a concept.
#12  Detroit Lions - defense needs to tighten up after giving up most points all season to the Steelers
#13  Arizona Cardinals - tied for second place in the west!
#14  Dallas Cowboys
#15  Green Bay Packers - all they need is their star QB back

Week 11 - continued

     San Francisco 49ers (6-3) @ New Orleans Saints (7-2)

     The Niners lost a much needed game last week at home.  Carolina kept them out of the end zone for the second time this year.  C. Kaepernick, in my mind, has underachieved and been overwhelmed.  He needs to get back to his "You can't touch me" attitude that he had last season.  If he plays with confidence and SF defense step up, they could win.

     The Saints impressed the world and, in my eyes, it was with their defense.  They held the Cowboys to less than 200 total yards for the game.  Drew Brees also threw for four tds and 392 yards.  If no defense can play like it did last week then the Niners, or any other team, won't stand a chance. I like New Orleans at home, but not by much.  The Niners need this game badly and they will be playing hard.
My final:  New Orleans - 28  San Francisco - 24

Kansas City Chiefs (9-0) @ Denver Broncos (8-1)

     The Chiefs are the NFLs only undefeated team left.  They've done it by handing the ball to J. Charles and counting on QB Alex Smith to manage the game.  They also have the best defense in the league.  They love to blitz and that is bad for an opposing QB with a bum ankle.

     The Broncos are the league's best offense.  Usually a good defense beats a good offense but I wouldn't use that philosophy in this game.  The Denver defense is coming together and the offense isn't just good, they are maybe the best ever.  My father always told me two things to live by.  #1  Always be a man of your word, and #2 Don't bet against Peyton Manning.  The Chiefs have won each road game this year by nine points or more but they have not beat a team with more than five wins yet.  I believe they will beat the Broncos, but it won't  be this week. 
My final:  Denver - 30  Kansas City - 21

THE REST OF THE LEAGUE

Atlanta over the Buccaneers 31-20
Texans over Raiders  27-17
Chicago beats Baltimore 24-16
San Diego over Miami 30-27
Green Bay beats New York Giants 20-17
Seattle dominates Minnesota 38-13
Carolina over New England 27-24

Sunday November 17th

Washington Redskins (3-6) @ Philadelphia Eagles (5-5)
     The NFC East division is just an all out bad defensive division.  All four teams rank in the bottom of the league in all major defensive categories.  These two are no different.  The Redskins give up the second most points in the NFL.  Washington's offense can move the ball with their playmakers, but are always left trying to make up for the defense's mistakes.  They also allow a poor 97.7 passer rating against Eagles QB.  Nick Foles has a passer rating of over 127.0 and has thrown 16 TDs and zero interceptions  He is playing great football and the Eagles have been winning behind his play.  The Philly defense has its own set of problems, just like the Skins.  They are dead last in passing yards allowed.

     Sunday, look for this game to be a high scoring affair.  Both teams can and will put up points.  The Eagles have won two in a row and are hot right now.  they go into this game tied for first in the NFC East.  Washington lost in week one when Chip Kelly unveiled his offense on the NFL.  It could give the Skins an advantage in the film room, but they are also playing against an entirely different QB, so I don't think it will help much.  The Eagles should stay hot at home and take care of Washington.  R. Gill has thrown for twice as many ints this year as he did last season.  While Foles has thrown none.  This will give the Eagles more opportunities and that will equal more points.

My final:  PHI-31 WAS-26

Arizona Cardinals (5-4) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (1-8)

     Arizona pulled out a tough victory against the Texans who still have a lot of fight.  They did it by limiting their mistakes and feeding the ball to rookie RB Andre Ellington.  Carson Palmer continued his trend of throwing an interception in nine straight games now.  It's something they are going to have to live with for this season.  WR Larry Fitzgerald has been missing on offense.  The Cards defense is stout against the run and has two very good CBs in Patrick Peterson and T. Mathieu.  If Palmer can avoid throwing picks and find Fitzgerald, the Cards could make a strong run for the wild card spot.  Being in the leagues toughest division doesn't help though.

     The Jags got their first win of the year against the Titans last week.  A 29-27 victory that really wasn't even that close.  They did it by playing good defense and limiting their mistakes. MJD was able to find the end zone for the third time this year.  But he will continue to have problems against the Cardinals.  I just don't think the Jaguars match up well against Arizona. If the Jags csn minimize their mistakes and make some plays on the defense, they will have a chance to be in this one.  But without playmakers like J. Blackmon, it will be a difficult task to move the ball.

     I think the Cardinals are going to be well prepared for this game and as long as Palmer doesn't have one of his 3+ int. games, they should win easily.  Chad Henne has a poor QB rating of 75.3, while Arizona posts a strong 79.8 against.  The cardinals will take care of the Jags.

My final:  ARZ-27  JAX-13

Cleveland Browns (4-5) @ Cincinnati Bengals (6-4)

     The Browns are coming out of their bye week ready to play a meaningful game in their division.  They've already beaten the Ravens and the Bengals once.  With a win this week they can get the tie  breaker and pull within a half game of first place.  One misconception about the Browns is that they are a bad team.  That is far from the truth.  Yes, they have had 20 different QBs start for them since 1999.  But they have a solid  veteran leading them now and their defense is  becoming one of the leagues best.  Their running game is poor.  Any positive yards rushing is just an added bonus for the offense.  Jason Campbell has done well in two games moving the ball.  He has a 106.6 QB rating against the Chiefs and Ravens.  The Browns also have a couple big time playmakers on offense too.  Gordan, after missing the first two games has 35 rec, 626 yds, and 3 tds.  TE Jordan Cameron also has the ability to be a game changer.  Look for him to be worked into action this Sunday.  The Browns should have some plays drawn up to maximize his talents.

     The Bengals come in to this game reeling after losing two overtime games in a row.  Last Sunday they were completely out played and out performed by the Ravens.  Now, for the second week, the Bengals will have to play a division rival coming off their bye week.  Andy Dalton had one of the worst games of his career last Sunday. It's a day he hopes to forget.  It's obvious that this is a team that can't wait to get to their bye week so they can lick their wounds.  They are hurting without Atkins and Leon Hall on defense.  Sunday look for the Browns to pull out all the stops.  They will be pumped and they will be prepared.  They are a hungry team and as long as Campbell can protect the ball like he's been doing, the Browns should win this game.  Look for big plays to come from return man Travis Benjamin as well as the defense who has a plus 5 turnover margin.  The Bengals will be considered the favorite in this game.  All they have to do is put the ball in the hands of their two biggest playmakers, A.J. Green and Gio Bernard.  If the Browns can't stop those two and Andy Dalton can keep from throwing INTS then they should win.  I expect this game to go down to the wire.  I like a rested Browns team to win over an exhausted Bengals Squad.

My final:  CLE-27  CIN-24

New York Jets (5-4) @ Buffalo Bills (3-7)

     The Jets won the first game of this rivalry in week 3, 27-20.  A lot has changed since then, for both teams.  The Jets have strayed away from Bill Powell and have succeeded with ex-Saint Chris Ivory.  Ivory torched his former team last week for 139 yards on 18 carries.  Rex Ryan and company will go back to him a lot this Sunday.  Gino Smith's inconsistencies have sometimes hurt his team, but for the most part it is what's expected with a rookie QB.  The good news is that he's had a bye week to rest, reflect and practice.

     The Bills have been inconsistent themselves.  They beat the Panthers in  a week 2 turn around, lose to the Jets the next week, intercept Joe Flacco four times, beat the Ravens ten, lose two more to the Browns and Bengals.  They have had injury problems at QB, which is a big reason for their problems.  Rookie E.J. Manuel returned last week against the Steelers as the Bills lost.  I expect Manuel to continue to play better as he gets more comfortable with his recovery.

     This Sunday, I think the Jets should get the better of the Bills.  Buffalo has lost three straight and have been affected by injuries all year.  While their defense has improved, the offense lacks big time playmakers.  The Jets are rested and they will come prepared and ready to win.

My final:  NYJ - 23  BUF - 17

Detroit Lions (6-3) @ Pittsburgh Steelers (3-6)

     The Lions stand alone at the top of the NFC North after beating the Bears last Sunday in Chicago.  Detroit has played great and and deserve to be where they are.  The addition of RB Reggie Bush took this team from a mediocre to good.l  He creates all kinds of options for Matt Stafford and the offense.  Before Stafford had just one target in WR Calvin Johnson and while he is a superstar, their offense lacked the running game as well as a number two option in the passing attack.  Bush provides not only that, but his big time playmaking ability has made this team a contender once again.  Bush leads the league in total yards  for all RBs and it's no coincidence that Matt Stafford is having one of his best statisticsal seasons thus far.  But this Lions team is not just an offensive powerhouse.  It is starting to show development on the defensive side of the ball.  They hold opposing QBs to a solid 85.0 QB rating against.  As a team, they have also done a great job of cutting down their penalties.  Last year they were one of the most penalized teams in the league.  The cutdown this year shows how they have matured.


     The Steelers have shown signs of getting their act together.  They were completely blown out by the Patriots two weeks ago but were strong against the Bills in a 26-20 victory at home.  Ruthlisberger denied rumors after the game that he wanted to be traded to a different team.  He has been good this season leading this team to three wins when it seemed to look terrible at the beginning of the season.  Take away his nine interceptions and his starts are good.  He lacks playmakers on offense and many times he is left to do it all himself.  His one consistency is WR Antionio Brown who has been his go to man this year.  It is obvious that they need more weapons.  RB Leveon Bell is blossoming into a nice RB for them.  All they need is to add to these three pieces in Rothlisberger, Brown and Bell.  On the defensive side, they are good against the pass but not so good against the run.  This is a defense that is showing its age and by the end of the year they might be a lot worse.

     The run defense for the Steelers is my biggest concern for them in this game.  Detroit should give them a heavy dose of Reggie Bush and if Pit can't stop him, this game could be a blow out.  I like the first place Lions on the road.

My final:  DET - 27  PIT - 20

Baltimore Ravens (4-5) @ Chicago Bears (5-4)

     The Ravens kept their playoff hopes alive after upsetting the struggling Bengals last week.  Joe Flacco has been pretty bad this season, throwing for ten interceptions and posting a QB rating of 79.3.  He started to show signs of improvement last week but made a horrible decision in the fourth quarter that led to a pick and gave the Bengals the chance to tie the game and force over time.  The defense isn't bad, but it is over worked because of the offenses inability to move the ball and score points.  Nine of Flaccos ten interceptions are on the road.

     The Bears will most likely be without QB Jay Cutler who reinjured himself last week.  But back up Josh McCown should do fine while Cutler is sidelined.  The Bears have no problems scoring with playmakers all over the field on offense.  Their defense may be giving up more yards this year, but they are still a good group.  Matt Forte has done a good job of staying healthy.  He is an asset that this team needs to be a contender.  The Bears won't lose two in a row at Soldier Field.  It will be a complete effort but they will beat the Ravens on Sunday.

My final:  BAL-17  CHI-26