Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Week 16 Fantasy Football Special Edition

     Welcome to a special Fantasy Football Edition of the Weekly Sports Rundown.  This is the championship round and there are a lot of favorable match ups that could help your fantasy team win it all.  Last week we saw surprises, letdowns and even a five touchdown performance by a running back.  This edition of the Rundown will help you decide who will have the break out performance that could win it all for your team.

Denver Broncos (11-3)  Houston Texans (2-12)
     The entire Bronco team has been fantasy gold all year long and has been a nightmare for other owners to go up against.  From nobody turned superstar, Julius Thomas, to the man himself Peyton Manning.  The Broncos have delivered week after week.  Last Thursday was a different story tough.  Was sit a fluke?  Or is it something to worry about heading into this weekend.  Well, first o all, Thursday night games are always sloppy.  We know that.  Teams are just not themselves when only having three days to practice and rest.  Denver was held to its lowest points all season and therefore it's lowest Fantasy out put.  But what is also bad is that the Houston Texans are a good team at defending the pass.  Thy have the lowest yardage against so don't be surprised if Mannng is held below 300.  But there is good news too.  The Texans give up  lot of touchdowns despite allowing such few yards. hey only have six interceptions on the year.  Peyton Manning is always a must start.  Some players you might want to stay away from are Demarius Thomas, Knowshon Moreno, Wes Welker.  Moreno and Welker have put in a lot of work over this season.  Welker has had concussion after concussion and Moreno has also been banged up lately. These are two key guys that the Broncos need in the play off.  They don't want to risk any further injury to either one.  The Broncos have the luxury of a top seeded record in the AFC.  So they can afford to rest some of their guys.  As for Demarius Thomas he's going against a good Texans secondary and if Welker and Moreno are limited, it will have a direct effect on his coverage.  He's probably good for about 60-70 yards and score, but if you have a solid backup WR that you think can do better, go ahead and take a chance.  The guys that should still shine are Decker, Julius Thomas, and of course, Peyton Manning.  If you have them, start them.  Matt Prater is also a must start kicker.
     For the Texans, it's been a disappointing season all across the board.  First, you had the injury to Arian Foster, then Matt Shaub's subpar play leading to the subpar play of players around him.  They have lost 12 games in a row and at this point there is only one player that is a must start.  That's obviously Andre Johnson.  Johnson has over 1300 yards and five TDs.  He will get plenty of opportunities to put up big numbers against a Broncos defense that has allowed 26 TDs and over 4,000 passing yards.    Ben Tate has had his moments in 2013, but his overall stats don't give his owners much hope.  Apart from Johnson, I'd consider it a gamble to start anyone else on this Texans team.  Sure, Tate and Garret Graham could have some opportunities, but this Texans team is at rock bottom and they didn't even show signs of fight against the Colts last week.  If you have someone else, I'd start 'em.  As for the game, Huston doesn't stand a chance.  Denver will win easily.
My Final:   DEN 34  HOU 2

Miami Dolphins (8-6) @ Buffalo Bills (5-9)
     The Dolphins have had a weird season.  They started out 3-0, then lost their next four.  They had a locker room issue that went public, players left and got suspended.  They lost half of their offensive line and now they are in position to make the playoffs for the first time since 2008.  Along the way there hasn't been a great deal of Fantasy greatness.  That has left owners o mot Dolphin disappointed.  Most of the star players on this team have been good back ups at best.  The only consistent stat has been the defense who have 17 interceptions, 39 sacks and hold opposing QBs to an average QB rating of 76.1.  Mike Wallace was supposed to be a superstar in this Miami offense.  He has been steady as of late but he only has 3 TDs going into last Sunday.  Ryan Tannehill has had a great year in terms of winning football games.  He had some problems with turnovers, throwing 14 interceptions and losing 5 fumbles, but he's gotten his act together.  Last week he had his first career game where he threw for 3 t|ds and no interceptions  On the season he has a QB rating of 88.3 and actually has thrown more touchdowns than Tom Brady.  I can't imagine a reason to start Tannehill in this weeks games.  While he does have a favorable match up against the Bills, more than likely if your team is in the championship rounds it's because you have had a QB that's not Ryan Tannehill.  Mike Wallace and Brian Hartline are good starts for this championship weekend.  But obviously not both. I also like TE Charles Clay.  If he's on your roster he's a must start.  The Bills have allowed 26 passing TDs this year.
     As for the Bills when it comes to a Fantasy standpoint, they've been horrible all across the board.  If you have any one of them on your team you should have cut them weeks ago.  Don't start anyone  on this Bills team, especially against this surging Miami defense.  As for the game... the Dolphins are playing great.  They've won three in a row and are playing with confidence.  Their defense is underrated and in my opinion they belong in the conversation for one of the league's best.  The Dolphins will not be stopped, especially by this weak Bills team.
My Final:  MIA 27 BUF 17

Tennessee Titans (5-9) @ Jacksonville Jaguars (4-10)
     With a combined 9-19 record between these two teams you would think that there isn't much Fantasy hopes in this game.  But you are wrong.  These two clubs aren't playing for anything else.  They are both eliminated from playoff contention and are far away from having a winning season.  The Titans have two players that could help your team this week.  #1 Chris Johnson.  He's been inconsistent, yes, but, the Jags have allowed over 1700 yards on the ground for an average of 4.2 yards a carry and have given up 16 rushing TDs.  Johnson only has five TDs and less than 1000 yards, but he will have a big game this Sunday.  #2 is Kendal Wright.  He's been the go to man in the receiving game for Tennessee.  He has 150 yards on 12 receptions.  The Jags will provide him with more opportunities to put up numbers.  Jacksonville has allowed 28 TDs in the air this season and Tennessee QB Ryan Fitzpatrick , while he's definitely a Fantasy highlight reel, he has been able to put up numbers when he's not throwing interceptions.  Both teams have terrible defense so even if you have someone on the Jaguars team you could see them have Fantasy success this Sunday.  On guy that I have my eye on is Cecil Shorts.  He's been quiet as o late but he could have a big day against the Titans.  Tennessee has only allowed 12 TDs going into last Sunday.  If you have someone better, I'd use them.  The Jaguars are at the end of a long season.  Everyone just can't wait for the year to be over.  I don't think you'll see too much competitive juices flowing from either side.  The game won't be anything exciting to watch unless, of course, you are a die hard fan of one of these teams.  Jacksonville's been hot before losing last Sunday and Tennessee has been competitive in its last three losses.  I think with their receivers and running game that the Titans will have the advantage.
My Final:  TEN 28 JAC 20

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