Wednesday, December 18, 2013

Week 16 Post 2

Indianapolis Colts (9-5) @ Kansas City Chiefs (11-3)
     Most of the Fantasy points in this game will probably come from KC who has been incredibly HOT lately.  But the Colts have had a couple guys that have put up some good numbers.  Andrew Luck has already become one of the better QBs in Fantasy Football and it's just his second year.  He's thrown for a respectable 21 TDs and almost 3500 yards.  But this season has had its rough spots and it's understandable that with a subpar running game and an injury to their number one WR why Luck hasn't put up better numbers. The entire Colts team faces a tough task against the surging Chiefs.  I wouldn't start anyone in this game unless you have to.  Luck will most likely get you about 200 yards and a TD, possibly two.  But that's no sure thing.  The Chiefs defense has held opposing QBs to an average QB rating of just 78.4.  Luck and Vinatieri are the only ones on the Colts that I would start; have put up 101 points in their last two games.    Jamaal Charles had five last week and had 185 receiving yards.  The week before he had 151 yards rushing and TD.  So he can do it all.  And while it might seem like he is the teams entire offense.   Alex Smith quietly threw for five TDs while the Chiefs scored 56 points against Oakland.  The Colts defense is just as bad and probably even worse than the Raiders.  They've allowed 13 rush TDs and 4. yards a carry.  Under Coach Andy Reid has been brilliant at when to use Charles as a receiver and as a runner.  This week I think he'll be used more in the running game.  He might not have five TDs again but I think he's good for 100-150 yards rushing and two scores.  Another big Fantasy must start is the Chief's defense.  They have sixteen interceptions, lead the league in  sacks and have scored lots of touchdowns.  As for the game, the Colts beat the Texans last week but still have trouble running the ball.  It won't get any easier against the Chiefs.  The Chiefs are playing at a level that they haven't played at all season.  It would be amazing if the Colts were able to go into Kansas City and upset the Chiefs.  The Colts have done it all year, but my guess is they won't be able to do it again.  They are a different team than they were earlier this season when they beat the Seahawks, 49ers and Broncos.  The Chiefs will stay hot and win big.
My Final:  KC 35  IND 26

Cleveland Browns (4-10) @ New York Jets (6-8)
     This game means very little to most people unless, of course, you have Josh Gordon on your team.  The league's leading receiver has put together a season for the record books.  He leads the league in yards despite missing the first two games of the season.  He has been Fantasy gold and in most leagues he wasn't even drafted.  Last week he was cooled off a bit by the freezing wind coming off of Lake Erie and the Chicago defense.  Gordan was able to muster 67 yards and a TD so he wasn't a total letdown.  Ad that's why he should start every week no matter the matchup.  This week especially since the Jets are weak against the pass.  The Jets are one of the best teams at stopping the run but the Browns don't run well and usually opt to pass in every situation.  Apart from Gordan you could also see some numbers put up by Browns TE Jordan Cameron.  Cameron has seven TDs so far and has amassed nearly 900 receiving yards with 72 receptions.  Cleveland defense has also been good this season.  They can get to the QB putting up points for sacks and fumbles.  They have also been good lately at scoring TDs.  Last week they had two against the Bears.  Against the Jets the Browns should have more turnovers.  Jets QB  Geno Smith has thrown 21 so far.  The Jets top receiver has a total of 388 yards and their top rusher doesn't have more than 700 yards.  I wouldn't start any Jets player on my team.  This is another game that is pretty much meaningless.  The Browns have played good but not great.  They have led opponents in the second half only to let each of those teams come back and win.  Stats are one thing but until you can close out games and keep teams from scoring when it matters, then you are not top ten.  The Jets have played their best football at home but I don't think they match up well against the Browns.  The Browns should have a ton of success throwing the ball and the Jets will struggle against the Browns defense.  As long as the Browns can play competitive for four quarters, and I think they will, they will win.  The Browns will play their most complete game of the season and end their losing streak.
My Final:  CLE 38  NYJ 24

New England Patriots (10-4) @ Baltimore Ravens (7-7)
     The Patriots lost their biggest Fantasy producer against the Browns two weeks ago but that news is only bad for Rob Gronkowski owners.  Danny Amendola will benefit the most from Gronks absence.  Last week he had over 130 yards against the Dolphins. Tom Brady will look to Amendola to pick up the slack in the passing game.  This is a team that still has play makers.  The Ravens have allowed 21 TDs through the air and opponents average a QB rating of 86.6.  Brady should have success and put up good Fantasy points for your championship round.  Also, if you need a running back for this week's game, look at Vereen.  He' a dual threat and Brady likes using him  For the Ravens it seems that the farther it gets into the season the better Joe Flacco plays.  Now, Flacco has never been a great or even good Fantasy QB, but he might play better than usual since he's going against Tom Brady and the Pats.  This is a big game for both clubs.  Every time these two teams play there is a playoff atmosphere and that's when Flacco is at his best.  One person that will benefit from Flaccos success is his go to target Torrey Smith.  Smith has over 1,000 yards and will get plenty of opportunities come Sunday.   Ray Rice has had the worst season of his career but he is still a dual threat back that could put up decent numbers.  In this game the Patriots should have their offense figured out.  Tom Brady will rely more on Amendola and Edleman to fill the void for Gronkowski.  The Ravens play best when they are at home.  They need this game if they want to make the wildcard.   But the Patriots love the idea of having the first round bye and will be playing for it.  The Ravens will have trouble keeping up with the Patriots.  Brady and the Patriots just have to start well and finish strong.  Too many times they have fallen behind in games and it bit them in the rear last week when the Dolphins didn't surrender their 24-20 lead.  The Patriots will win as long as they start well.
My Final:  N 26  BAL 24

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